Michigan coronavirus case numbers crack 20,000 -- nearly four times Ohio’s - cleveland.com

CLEVELAND -- Michigan is up to 20,346 confirmed coronavirus cases, compared to 5,148 in Ohio.

The state of 10 million people also has 959 deaths, more than five times the 193 deaths in Ohio, with 11.7 million people. Hospitals are overwhelmed in metro Detroit, where the state has had to set up field hospitals at two convention centers. One is in downtown Detroit and one is in Oakland county.

But despite the huge difference in totals, percentage increases now are similar. Ohio’s case numbers on Wednesday increased by 8 percent, and Michigan’s increased by 7 percent. Looking at the cases from that perspectives shows that the virus isn’t currently growing significantly faster in Michigan.

And those percent increases have slowed down, below 20% since April 2.

In a New York Times analysis of cell phone data to see which states stayed at home as the coronavirus began to spread, both Michigan and Ohio showed low travel activity.

The neighboring states are separated by a day on most major social distancing measures. Michigan cases are largely in the metropolitan area of Detroit, home to more than 4 million people -- much larger than urban areas in Ohio.

Ohio Gov. Mike DeWine and Health Director Dr. Amy Acton locked down the state starting March 23 and extended the state’s stay-at-home order last week to May 1, keeping businesses and schools closed. The measures worked; the state’s expected peak is now 1,600 cases per day, instead of 10,000.

Michigan Gov. Gretchen Whitmer’s stay-at-home measure runs through April 13. Michigan upped the cost for violating its stay-at home order from $500 to $1,000, the Detroit Metro Times reported. Whitmer has said she would likely extend the order.

There are few theories:

Ohio did not have an in-person primary on March 17, but Michigan did on March 10. May elections are still scheduled in Michigan, according to MLive, though residents are encouraged to vote by mail.

Detroit has a major airport, which was one of 11 screening international airports where passengers from China were sent in February.

Detroit’s population is large, and poverty is rampant. In both states, black residents are disproportionally affected by the virus.

The two states were within 10 cases of each other until March 19, when the gap grew to more than 200. Michigan case numbers went up 317% on March 19, and 64% on March 20.

March 19 is when state officials began including tests from hospitals and private labs, according to MLive.

The percent increases for Michigan and Ohio shows case numbers rapidly grew in Michigan in mid to late March, but growth has been closer over the past week.

April 2

Ohio: 2,902, increase of 355 (13.9%)

Michigan: 10,791, increase of 1,457 (15.6%)

April 3

Ohio: 3,312, increase of 410 (14.1%)

Michigan: 12,744, increase of 1,953 (18.09%)

April 4

Ohio: 3,739, increase of 427 (12.9%)

Michigan: 14,225, increase of 1,481 (11.6%)

April 5

Ohio: 4,403, increase of 664 (17%)

Michigan: 15,718, increase of 1,493 (10%)

April 6

Ohio: 4,450, increase of 407 (9%)

Michigan: 17,221, increase of 1503 (10%)

April 7

Ohio: 4,782, increase of 332 (7%)

Michigan: 18,970, increase of 1,749 (10%)

April 8

Ohio: 5,148, increase of 366 (8%)

Michigan: 20,346, increase of 1,376 (7%)

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Michigan coronavirus case numbers crack 20,000 -- nearly four times Ohio’s - cleveland.com
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