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Coronavirus Could Kill 200,000 in US in Best Case Scenario; Americans Told to Stay Home Through April - The Weather Channel

U.S. Lockdown Extended as Coronavirus Deaths top 2,500
  • 100,000 to 200,000 American deaths is a best case scenario, said coronavirus coordinator Dr. Deborah Birx.
  • "We're going to have all of these little mini outbreaks throughout various cities," Dr. Anthony Fauci warned.
  • The Tokyo Olympics have been rescheduled to start on July 23, 2021.
  • Florida's Gov. DeSantis told people in Broward, Palm Beach, Miami-Dade and Monroe counties to stay home.

With hundreds of millions of Americans preparing to stay home another month, two of the nation's top coronavirus experts warned Monday that COVID-19 could still claim 100,000 to 200,000 lives in the U.S.

Projections of 100,000 to 200,000 American deaths is a best case scenario even "if we do things almost perfectly," Dr. Deborah Birx, the lead coordinator of the White House’s coronavirus task force, said on NBC's "Today" show.

"I think everyone understands now that you can go from five to 50 to 500 to 5,000 cases very quickly," she said.

"I don't want to see it — I would like to avoid it, but I wouldn't be surprised if we saw 100,000 deaths," Dr. Anthony Fauci, director of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, told CNN.

Without precautionary measures, the government model projected, COVID-19 could kill 1.6 million to 2.2 million Americans.

Those dire projections led to President Donald Trump to extend social distancing guidelines through at least April 30.

“We can expect that by June 1, we will be well on our way to recovery,” Trump said during a briefing on Sunday evening. “We think by June 1 A lot of great things will be happening.”

Navy Ship Arrives in New York

The USNS Comfort medical ship moves up the Hudson River past the Statue of Liberty as it arrives on Monday, March 30, 2020, in New York. The Comfort will treat non-virus-related patients, helping to ease the burden of hospitals overwhelmed by the crisis.

(Photo by BRYAN R. SMITH/AFP via Getty Images)

The president had said earlier he wanted to ease social distancing guidelines by April 12.

"We felt that if we prematurely pulled back, we would only form an acceleration or a rebound of something, which would have put you behind where you were before — and that's the reason why we argued strongly with the president that he not withdraw those guidelines after 15 days, but that he extend them, and he did listen," Fauci told CNN.

On Monday afternoon, the U.S. had 144,672 confirmed cases of COVID-19, the deadly respiratory disease caused by the new coronavirus, according to data compiled by Johns Hopkins University. At least 2,575 deaths have been recorded.

Around the world, more than 745,000 people have been infected, and more than 35,000 have died.

Latest Developments

United States

-The Food and Drug Administration will allow the distribution of millions of doses of the anti-malarial drugs hydroxychloroquine and chloroquine to hospitals across the country to try on seriously ill coronavirus patients.

-Dr. Fauci also warned on Monday that the coronavirus outbreaks in New Orleans and Detroit show signs that “they're going to take off,” and the same could happen in smaller cities. “There are a number of smaller cities that are sort of percolating along, couple hundred cases, the slope doesn't look like it's going up,” Fauci told ABC's “Good Morning America.” "What we’ve learned from painful experience with this outbreak is that it goes along almost on a straight line, then a little acceleration, acceleration, then it goes way up. ... We're going to have all of these little mini outbreaks throughout various cities in our country," he said.

-The Marine Corps announced it has temporarily stopped sending recruits to Marine Corps Recruit Depot Parris Island in South Carolina after COVID-19 cases were diagnosed at the installation. “The preservation of our Marines, recruits and their families is the highest priority for Marine Corps recruiting during this national emergency,” Gen. David Berger, the commandant of the Marine Corps, said in a prepared statement. Parris Island is one of two locations for training new recruits, with the other at Marine Corps Recruit Depot San Diego in California. Recruits now at Parris Island will continue with their training , according to the Marine Corps.

-Macy’s announced it will furlough most of its 130,000 employees this week because of closed stores and slumping sales. Macy's also owns Bloomingdale’s and Bluemercury.

-Maryland Gov. Larry Hogan has issued a stay-at-home order that will go into effect at 8 p.m. Monday. Residents should not leave their homes unless they are traveling for an essential job or for an essential need, such as food or medicine.

-Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis said he doesn't want Holland America's Zandaam, where four people died and more than 130 passengers and crew have symptoms, to dock in Fort Lauderdale. The cruise ship was not allowed to dock in South America after leaving Argentina on March 7. It passed through the Panama Canal Sunday night and is about three days from Florida. “We cannot afford to have people who are not even Floridians dumped into South Florida using up those valuable resources," DeSantis told Fox News.

-Carnival Corporation, parent company of Holland America and other cruise lines, said Monday it was extending its shutdown until May 11.

-DeSantis also said Monday he will sign an executive order saying people in Broward, Palm Beach, Miami-Dade and Monroe counties must stay at home because of the high number of COVID-19 cases in South Florida.

-Anyone entering Vermont from another state must self-quarantine for 14 days, Gov. Phil Scott announced. He also said hotels, bed and breakfasts, and short-term rentals such as Airbnb and campgrounds have to suspend operations.

-Tough containment strategies in the Seattle area appear to be paying off. Preliminary statistical models provided to public officials in Washington state suggest that the spread of the virus has slowed there in recent days, the New York Times reported. In early March, each infected person spread the virus to an average of 2.7 other people. One model suggests that it was now down to 1.4. “We made a huge impact — we slowed the transmission,” Mayor Jenny Durkan told the Times.

-New York is building a 68-bed field hospital in Central Park to accommodate additional coronavirus patients, Mayor Bill de Blasio said Sunday.

-Arizona officials announced schools in the state will remain closed for the rest of the school year.

Worldwide:

-Prime Minister Justin Trudeau said Monday the Canadian government will pay 75% of employees' salaries at businesses impacted by COVID-19. Trudeau said employers must show that their revenue has dropped by at least 30%, the Washington Post reported. The wage subsidy will be backdated to March 15 and will cover the first $58,700 of a person's salary. “That means up to $847 a week,” Trudeau said.

-Italy's death toll increased by another 812 people on Monday, bringing the country’s total number of deaths linked to COVID-19 to 11,591. Italy's total number of confirmed cases is 101,739.

-Spain's death toll has risen to more than 7,300 after more than 800 new deaths were reported Monday. At least six of Spain's 17 regions were at their limit of intensive care unit beds, and three more were close to it, The Associated Press reported. Nearly 15% of all those infected in Spain, almost 13,000 people, are health care workers.

-The Tokyo Olympics have been rescheduled for 2021. The rescheduled Olympics will start July 23, 2021, with the closing ceremony on Aug. 8, 2021. The Paralympics were rescheduled to Aug. 24-Sept. 5.

Geared up for Work

Medical staff members arrive for a duty shift at Dongsan Medical Center in Daegu, South Korea, Monday, March 30, 2020. The new coronavirus causes mild or moderate symptoms for most people, but for some, especially older adults and people with existing health problems, it can cause more severe illness or death.

(Park Dong-ju/Yonhap via AP)

-Prince Charles, 71, the heir to the British throne who was quarantined in Scotland over the last seven days after testing positive for the coronavirus, has taken himself out of isolation, Buckingham Palace announced on Monday. “The prince is in good health,” an official at the palace said. “He is now operating under the current standard medical restrictions that apply nationwide.”

-After an aide tested positive for the conronavirus, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and members of his staff placed themselves in self-isolation until their own test results come back.

-The United Kingdom's Prime Minister Boris Johnson continues to self-isolate after testing positive for COVID-19, and his chief adviser Dominic Cummings also is quarantined after developing symptoms.

-Japan's health ministry says a former passenger of the Diamond Princess cruise ship, a woman in her 60s from Hong Kong, died of the COVID-19 pneumonia after being treated at a hospital. She is the 11th victim from the ship on which 712 of the 3,711 people aboard were infected during a two-week quarantine in the port of Yokohama, near Tokyo.

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