New Jersey took a step back in its fight against the coronavirus last week with case rates and positivity rates climbing in all six regions tracked by the state and used by school districts to evaluate risk in educational settings.
For the seventh week in a row, all 21 counties are orange, indicating “high” coronavirus activity, according to data released by the state Department of Health Thursday.
New Jersey's COVID-19 Activity Level map remained all orange for the week ending Jan. 2, indicating "high" virus levels in every region.New Jersey Department of Health
The weekly COVID-19 Activity Level map breaks New Jersey into six regions and uses local health data to calculate where COVID-19 is spreading the fastest. If any region turns red on the map, virus activity is considered “very high” and all schools in those counties must switch to all-remote learning.
All six regions showed an increase in case rate this week with the southwest region the highest at 42.78 — an increase from 39.78 cases per 100,000 residents. The case rate is lowest in the northwest region — 34.15 cases per 100,000, though it’s an increase over last week’s 31.76.
The percent positivity indicator for the week ending Jan. 2 is again high in all six regions of the state — meaning more than 10% of COVID-19 tests produced positive results. For the week of Dec. 26, two regions — Northwest and Central West — dipped below 10% and were for the “moderate” for the week in that category.
The southeast region has the highest positivity rate — 14.62%, slightly above the 14.42% in the southwest. The Central West has the lowest — 10.64%. Last week that area reported a rate of 8.2%.
Because every region is still orange on this week’s map, schools across the state still have the option of opening for in-person classes. But districts are still encouraged to “consider” switching to all-virtual learning while their regions are orange, according to state health guidelines.
The COVID-19 Activity Level Report calculates a score each week for each region using case rates, percentage of positive tests and the percent of people reporting cough, fever and other symptoms that might be the coronavirus.
The state was last red, indicating “very high” virus activity, in April. But it dropped to orange in May, then was green (low activity) or yellow (moderate activity) for most of the summer and fall as infection rates fell.
However, all six regions jumped to orange again in mid-November when the second wave of the pandemic hit the state.
The regions are:
-Northwest: Morris, Passaic, Sussex, Warren
-Northeast: Bergen, Essex, Hudson
-Central West: Hunterdon, Mercer, Somerset
-Central East: Middlesex, Monmouth, Ocean, Union
-Southwest: Burlington, Camden, Gloucester, Salem
-Southeast: Atlantic, Cape May, Cumberland
All six regions in New Jersey continued to score a 3 on the state's COVID-19 Activity Level Index for the week ending Jan. 2. That means virus levels are "high" across the state.New Jersey Department of Health
This week’s map is based on data for the week ending Jan. 2 and likely does not include the results from people who were exposed to the virus during New Year’s Eve gatherings.
The color assigned for each region — green (low), yellow (moderate), orange (high) or red (very high) — is based on the COVID-19 Activity Level Index, or CALI, a score from 1 to 4 that health officials give each region weekly. The score is calculated using a formula that uses the case rate per 100,000 people, the region’s seven-day average percentage of people who test positive and the percent of people who report coughs, fever and other symptoms that could be COVID-19.
As of Thursday, at least 17,587 people died of the coronavirus or virus-related causes, according to the Department of Health. Another 2,059 deaths were probably caused by the virus, officials said.
At least 137,000 have been vaccinated as of Wednesday, though officials said that number was likely underreported.
Jeff Goldman may be reached at jeff_goldman@njadvancemedia.com. Follow him on Twitter @JeffSGoldman. Find NJ.com on Facebook.
Kelly Heyboer may be reached at kheyboer@njadvancemedia.com.
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N.J. school districts remain on ‘high’ COVID activity alert. Case rate climbs in all 6 regions. - NJ.com
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